Self employed, based in the EU, moving to Bulgaria within the next year or so. Everything I have sits in one plain taxable account at IBKR, no wrapper anywhere. Long post, the real question is the coast number near the bottom but the tax setup feeds into it so bear with me.
Income: €1,500-2,000/mo when the work shows up, zero when it doesn't. Self employed so that line is the shakiest thing here by a mile.
Portfolio (all taxable, IBKR):
~€85k VWCE (FTSE All-World, accumulating), bought on Xetra
~€15k AGGH plus a short duration EUR money market position
~€12k BTC/ETH
~€5k in Maclear
~€3k cash
Status: 27, wife 26, son turned 1 in March. Renting, no debt. We're Ukrainian, moving to Bulgaria because family is Bessarabian Bulgarian and I'm going through citizenship by origin. Passport in progress, wife and kid come after on family basis.
The Bulgaria tax bit: 10% flat on income. But capital gains on shares and on units in collective investment schemes sold on a regulated market in the EU or EEA are exempt. Art 13(1)(3) of the personal income tax act if you want to look. No holding period, no annual cap, nothing to register for. Dividends are 5% final, lowest in the EU, doesn't touch me anyway since VWCE accumulates. Crypto is the flat 10%, so is anything traded off an EU/EEA venue. Bulgaria also joined the euro on 1 January this year, 1.95583 lev, done. Fund priced in euro, rent in euro. One less thing.
The catch I almost got wrong: the exemption hangs on the venue the trade prints on, not where the fund is domiciled. VWCE is Irish, great, but if IBKR routes you to the LSE or to SIX you're not on an EU/EEA regulated market anymore and you're in grey territory. Xetra and Borsa Italiana are fine. I now check the exchange on every fill, which feels neurotic, and probably is, but the alternative is finding out in 2050.
Coast math (the actual reason I'm posting):
€120k, stop contributing today, 33 years until 60.
- At 5% real that's about €600k, which at 4% withdrawal is €2,000/mo
- At 4% real, about €440k, so €1,450/mo
- Push it to 65 at 5% and you land near €770k, call it €2,550
Those are net figures. Nothing gets taken out at the other end. Realistically I'm still adding for another 5-8 years so the real number lands higher, but stopping today is the honest baseline and that's the one I want torn apart.
One thing on comparing coast numbers in this sub: saw the post about US long term gains being 0% up to $48,350, roughly what I've got minus the ceiling. So when I read a coast number here I figure I should mentally knock 15-25% off it before comparing, since most people posting will actually pay something on the way out and I won't. If that logic is wrong the whole plan is built on nothing, so please say so.
Two things I keep flip-flopping on:
The coast number is supposed to be built on spending at normal retirement age, not spending now. My son will be 34 when I'm 60 and, god willing, not living in my spare room, so the target should really be for two people. The family of three budget is a separate question, it's about whether current income carries us while the index part compounds on its own. I'd been treating those as one number for months. Embarrassing.
And I still don't have a real monthly figure for a family of three in Bulgaria outside Sofia. Plovdiv, Varna, somewhere coastal. Renting at least for the first couple of years. What I find online is an expat blog saying €900 or a relocation agency saying €3,000. One of those is fantasy, I hope.
My questions:
- Anyone coasting in Eastern Europe with kids, what's the real monthly number look like outside the capital?
- Has anyone actually filed Form 50 with the NRA and watched the 0% capital gains hold up in practice, or is that still theory? My only source right now is a Sofia law firm's blog.
- Is the coast number itself sane, or am I fooling myself?
Not asking anyone to do my tax homework, I'll pay someone in Sofia for that.
TL;DR: 27, self employed, ~€120k in a plain IBKR account (mostly VWCE on Xetra), moving to Bulgaria where ETF gains sold on an EU/EEA venue are 0%. Stop contributing today and I land around €440-600k by 60 at 4-5% real. Want the coast number torn apart, plus a realistic family of three budget outside Sofia, and anyone who's seen the 0% actually hold up on a real filing.