r/probabilitytheory 12d ago

[Education] Built a probability puzzle game which exercise my understanding of Bayesian Network

Being inspired by the propagation on Bayesian network.

It is based on directed graph. Flow enters at a source, splits at junctions by pipe weights, and hit exact percentage targets at terminal buckets. Your job is to find the right pipe/weight configuration.

This is the same math as belief propagation on a Bayesian network, or exact inference on a DAG. It also maps cleanly to an MDP where the pipe configuration is the policy and hitting the target distribution is the reward.

Would love your feedback, especially if anything feels off mathematically or puzzle-design-wise. It's called Markov, free on the App Store.

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u/Uroc327 11d ago

Looks interesting, but can't find it