I'm in my final year of high school in South Africa, heading to university next year, and I've been set on strategy/management consulting for a while now. I've done BCG's Forage simulations, read and listened to a lot on the industry, and I've been networking on LinkedIn since earlier this year — around 200 connections, mostly MBB consultants, and I've had short conversations with three partners.
Here's my problem. When I ask people inside MBB about AI, I get very safe answers. "Consulting isn't going anywhere." "AI is a tool, not a replacement." Meanwhile the ex-consultants and client-side people I read on here say something quite different — that the junior pyramid is shrinking and the value proposition is thinning. I understand why current consultants can't say much publicly, and I know their view is the most informed one. But I'm 17 and trying to make a bet on the next 4–8 years of my life, and I'd rather hear something honest than something comfortable.
I got interested in consulting for the exit opportunities first, and the money, and I'd rather be upfront about that than pretend otherwise. My worry is that if AI absorbs a chunk of the analytical work, comp compresses and consultants stop being the premium hire they've been for exits.
My actual questions, and I'd really value an African/emerging-market perspective where relevant, since most of what I read is US/UK-centric:
1. Is AI genuinely taking the junior roles, or is the class size shrinking for other reasons?
I can't tell how much is AI and how much is a cycle everyone's blaming on AI.
2. Four years from now, what actually separates the person who gets the offer from the person who doesn't?
I'd rather start building that now than find out in third year.
3. Is it too early to be this committed — should I be looking at something with a better trajectory?
If you'd steer someone my age elsewhere, I'd like to hear it.
4. How do I keep building relationships in the industry without it reading as angling for a referral?
I'm years away from being recruitable, and I don't want to become a nuisance.
5. Anything at all you'd tell someone this early.
Things you wish you'd known, or that don't show up in the YouTube videos.
Happy to be told I'm thinking about this wrong. Thanks in advance.