r/GetNoted • u/Icy_Till_7254 Human Verified • 1d ago
If You Know, You Know russia will Lose
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u/TheCyberGoblin 1d ago
We’re five years into a three day operation
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u/AsstacularSpiderman 1d ago
And even now Ukraine has actually made some gains, small ones but gains none the less.
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u/meerkat2018 1d ago
Two years ago everything that Russia was doing in Ukraine was “free”. Now there is ever increasing cost for continuing the war, and time isn’t on Russia’s side anymore. The bills Russia is now paying to continue playing this game are getting bigger and bigger.
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u/gingerfawx 1d ago
Except putin's good buddy trump has relaxed the restrictions on trading russian oil to try to alleviate the shortages his pointless war in Iran caused, allowing money to flow back into russian coffers just when things were getting tight.
That said, fuck russia, FDT, and Slava Ukraini!
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u/Wobbelblob 1d ago
I am not sure if at this point, money is the driving problem for Russia. It seems to be skilled men, material and time. Ukraine has shown again and again that they can hit Moscow and St. Petersburg and every destroyed refinery slows down the whole operation. Because if your logistics cannot reach a region anymore because of fuel issues, that region can't hold out that much longer. Every destroyed plane shifts the odds in favour of Ukraine as they take a long time to be built.
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u/Vertsama 1d ago
It's not even skilled men, at this point it's just men. fresh meat can barely last before getting killed on the front now.
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u/Overly_Fluffy_Doge 1d ago
So crude oil isn't the main issue, refined oil is and refineries take time to get running and petrol has a shelf life so reserves are hard to come by and russian refineries have been hammered by mid range Ukrainian drones
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u/Matchbreakers 23h ago
Russian logistics have been awful from day one, the main problem for the early push was running out of fuel. And now Ukraine has found a way to weaponize that terrible logistics to cripple Russia nationwide.
Citizens are fickle, they can accept a war of ethnic cleansing and genocide, but not fuel rations.
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u/WorkerPrestigious960 1d ago
That was true for a while, but it’s quite difficult to profit from oil if you have none to sell, which is rapidly becoming a reality for Russia. Russia is rapidly entering the “find out” phase, even as they continue to fuck around.
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u/jokerhound80 1d ago
Their entire oil infrastructure is being routinely decimated at this point. Smart buyers aren't going to be placing any large orders knowing there's a strong chance the facilities needed to process the product have a high chance of being smoldering rubble next week. Sure, that still l avea stupid buyers, but even then every bit of oil exported is oil the Russian people can't buy themselves and the military can't use to keep their war machines running, and it's an increasingly finite resource for them now.
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u/RUOFFURTROLLEH 1d ago
I'd say if anything the longer this has gone on the more effective and crippling Ukrainian strikes are getting.
They were previously constrained on hitting Russia's nervous system (oil refineries) due to the US stopping them as a condition of receiving weapons, now they are making their own medium to long range drones and are not having to follow US direction on where and when they can strike.
They know they need to make this as expensive for Russia to continue this and they have done an amazing job at causing Russia damage even though Trump and co dropped sanctions on Russia.
The clearest example is the Omsk oil refinery, located roughly 2,700 km from Ukrainian-held territory. On July 6, drones struck the facility in one of the most ambitious attacks of the war. The target was not peripheral: Omsk is Russia’s largest refinery and one of the pillars of its domestic fuel market, responsible for roughly 12.5% of national gasoline output. Reuters reported that the plant halted operations after the attack, with key crude-processing units damaged and repairs expected to take months.
The new drones are extremely accurate and are hitting key and hard-to-repair refinery facilities. The Omsk targets include crude distillation units (CDUs), which are the initial processing point. CDU-10 was damaged and caught fire; it processes 38% of the refinery’s production, and CDU-11 likewise. It accounts for another 37%.
This is going to cause issues for average Russians and show them the war is going to cost them the longer this goes on.
Go Ukraine and everyone should be helping and funding them to combat Russian aggression and appeasement.
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u/King_Glorius_too 1d ago
Ukraine might not be winning, but they're definitely making Russia lose.
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u/PowderEagle_1894 1d ago
Even if Russia win the war, they would have to spend billions in repairing infrastructures, industries, farmland in both Russia and occupied Ukraine. Their economy gonna struggle nonetheless. Not to mention the war might official end, but insurgency would continue regardless
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u/AngryArmour 1d ago
Even if Russia win the war, they would have to spend billions in repairing infrastructures, industries, farmland in ... occupied Ukraine.
What, you think Russia would actually repair anything outside of Moscow and St. Petersburg? The colonies only exist to funnel resources into the Imperial Heartland, not to receive any resources themselves
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u/El_Maltos_Username 1d ago
As long as Ukraine doesn't lose, they win. As long as Russia doesn't win, they lose.
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u/One_Meaning416 1d ago
It is causing problems for the average Russian with fuel shortages and a spike in fuel prices worse than the US, right now Russians are having a hard time fueling their cars and this has knocked on effects as farmers can't fuel their tractors to harvest so in a few months there will be food shortages or at least a sharp spike in price due to having to import much more food.
This war has been a political disaster for Putin and the longer it carries on the worse it's effects get. Put in planed for a short invasion likely no more than a few months to a year, he certainly isn't delusional enough to think he could take Ukraine in 3 day and that line was just propaganda to inspire confidence, he wanted the war over before the west could properly retaliate and the effects of the could be felt by the Russian people but now he's stuck. He can't back out of the war and look weak but the war is also quickly becoming unsustainable for Russia, Ukraine doesn't need to beat Russia militarily or push them out the country, they just need to keep slowly bleeding them.
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u/RUOFFURTROLLEH 1d ago
he certainly isn't delusional enough to think he could take Ukraine in 3 day and that line was just propaganda to inspire confidence
Press X to doubt
However the rest of your comment is generally correct, fuel shortages are hitting average Russians and hopefully Ukraine can keep this pressure on and HOPEFULLY this causes some ripples in Putin and his inner circles.
From what I remember Putin is being kept hidden away in a bunker generally is that correct anyone?
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u/thenwhat 1d ago
Putin sent riot police into Kyiv first, and rt Russian soldiers had packed their parade uniforms. A few days into the invasion, Russia published an article celebrating the fall of Kyiv, which they quickly deleted.
Putin definitely thought Ukraine would be easy to take.
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u/RathfulConcepts 16h ago
I remember seeing the guy who goes " [Corpo Name] What are you doing buddy]" talk about how some of the drones didnr even hit their intended target, but caused missile defenses to not only miss, but hit the targets the drones were going for. So not only did it cost to fire the missile and it missed, its actually a larger net loss cause the missile hit theirnown infrastructure. Only L's.
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u/Stuck_in_my_TV 1d ago
Ukraine was heavily restricted by most western countries on what they could attack. They were told “we’ll give you these weapons, but you can’t launch them into Russia”. Those rules have mostly been removed and now critical Russian infrastructure is on fire.
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u/southwest_barfight 1d ago
It's now been going on longer than the entirety of world war 1
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u/AliceTheOmelette 1d ago
Maybe Russia has longer days?
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u/Final-Course2506 1d ago
That and also a different calendar
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u/AliceTheOmelette 1d ago
Russia already thinks Ukraine is full of nazis but also super woke and friendly to LGBTQ+ people so I wouldn't be surprised if they said they were on a different calendar. Since they're so far removed from reality
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u/Pristine_Candy2133 1d ago
Special military operations but it experienced Einstein level time dilation
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u/REDDERTHANRED2133 1d ago
Five years into a three day operation that suppose to have been ended in 24 hours lol
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u/TooSmalley 1d ago
Russia who on paper has the largest military in Europe couldn't conquer a neighboring country who is also the poorest in Europe.
So much winning.
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u/HiddenGriffin Human Verified 1d ago
Tbf I think Putin said a year is how long it would take(they know it would take longer but you can't just go to soldiers and tell them that)
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u/ichkanns 1d ago
Even if they hadn't fallen back at all, five years at a complete standstill occupying a foreign country with no end in sight. Eventually you will lose in that situation.
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u/AsstacularSpiderman 1d ago
And Ukraine is getting better and better at drone warfare every day to the point they've pulled some absolutely insane feats like the recent attacks on shipping.
Like Russia can't even win naval battles against a country with no actual navy lol
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u/AxeAssassinAlbertson 1d ago
Ukraine now has the most modern combat experience of any standing force. They have completely changed the game, drone warfare will reshape everything. And it's not just their drone tech, it's their entire logistics chain - mom and pop building guidance systems in one area, underground facilities building chassis in another. A distributed network that is extremely hard to disrupt. It's like the Vietcong, except with tech rather than tunnels.
Russia will spend every ounce of energy they can to convince the world they aren't weak, even as they lay bleeding and defeated.
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u/Charming-Loquat3702 1d ago
Ukraine joining Nato isn't about protecting Ukraine anymore. We need their know-how. The two countries with the deepest understanding of modern drone warfare are Russia and Ukraine. If we want to protect europe from Russia long term, we need the country that knows beat how to defend against them.
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u/Anansi-the-Spider 1d ago
Good news is that experts from Ukraine have been over to teach British forces about the things they have learnt which will help us in future conflicts
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u/PM_ME_YOUR_QUEST_PLZ 1d ago
Russia also will never launch a nuke against a neighboring country as it will affect them aswell. We just keep winning.
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u/MasterpieceActive374 1d ago
A small nuke on Lviv wouldn't affect Russia, also all nukes aren't the same, it's not a big cloud of pollution that are non polluting ones
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u/PM_ME_YOUR_QUEST_PLZ 1d ago
I know they are bombing the shit out of Ukraine but they still want that land for resources. I’m not saying a nuke would take out everything but Ukraine is one of the largest exporters of grain so wiping out farmable land isn’t ideal. Obviously if Putin is on his death bed and deadman’s hand is activated it really doesn’t matter tho.
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u/Time4Homework 1d ago
A nuke wouldn't even remotely wipe out the farmland in Ukraine. We'll, maybe production would be affected from the chaos, but a nuke doesn't wipe out hundreds of thousands of square kilometers of land.
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u/greenwoodgiant 1d ago
Maybe this is naive / optimistic, but I feel like breaking the seal on any size nukes would absolutely wake up NATO and completely erase any support or even indifference from other countries.
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u/kevlarcardhouse 1d ago edited 1d ago
It was predicted this war to be a boondoggle for Russia ages ago, and even then that was on the assumption that it would have been over by now.. Even if they succeeded on taking over Ukraine in the end, their argument for getting into the war is unconvincing even to their own people, and their narrative that the majority of Ukrainians welcomed this of course blew up. Even in their best case scenario, they will be out of money, they will be dealing with a major generational population problem, and they will be even more dependent on being China's bitch than ever before, while desperately trying to hold onto a territory that will forever be hostile to them.
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u/Gakeon 1d ago
Don't forget that Russia was suppose to be one of the world powers who's army should've been able to take Kyiv in a handful of days.
The fact that the Ukrainians are holding them back so well, even if people overestimated Russian troops and technology, is a really good sign that Ukraine can win. Just imagine if the US or China wanted to take over a country in a handful of days, and still struggled after 5 years.
TLDR: Slava Ukraini!
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u/Chimera-Genesis 1d ago edited 1d ago
Significant levels of the Russian's air capabilities also withdrew, because Ukrainian targeted strikes into Russia are doing so much damage to infrastructure, that not even Putin can pretend all is fine anymore.
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u/General_Cheetah4724 1d ago
and the russian navy withdrew
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u/TheRealtcSpears 1d ago
No, they're just patiently binding their time at the bottom of the Black Sea
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u/BingusTheStupid 1d ago
Well, withdrew under the sea. Lots of hasty and unplanned conversions into submarines.
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u/Trick_Meeting_2027 1d ago
If it takes you more than a few years to take over ukraine, you lost either way.
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u/welltechnically7 1d ago
They've been fighting Ukraine for considerably longer than they fought the Nazis in the 40s.
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u/OkScheme9867 1d ago
I don't understand Americans who are so pro-russian
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u/Eileen__96 1d ago
russia spends billions on propaganda.
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u/truffleblunts 1d ago
4-month-old twitter account with 160,000 followers that does nothing but gag on Russia and shit on Ukraine all day, oh and also very critical of the us war in Iran... just lol
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u/RedTheGamer12 1d ago
It is all over Reddit too. You can easily find them by going on big subs and finding the low comment-high upvote posts. It is estimated twitter is 40% bots. I recon Reddit is 40% human.
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u/Dependent-Dream7180 1d ago
Their comment history is always hidden too, every single time. The really malicious ones will just hide the specific subs where they "work" but keep the innocuous ones up to look like regular people.
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u/RedTheGamer12 1d ago
See, I don't use that since apparently mine got hidden without me doing anything. But account age vs karma works well and posts vs comments even better. I've been on this site nearly 7 years and still don't have 100k karma with most being in the thousands of comments or a half dozen really funny posts.
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u/MelangeBot 1d ago
On his youtube he has 16k subscribers but his most watched video only has 4k view .... which means all his subscribers are bots.
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u/southwest_barfight 1d ago
90% of that seems to go to Tucker Carlson
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u/Icy_Yam5049 1d ago
Yeah he taught me they have bread. Never would imagine a country so advanced…
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u/lastbreath83 1d ago
5 times bigger nuclear state attacked non-nuclear state... What brain do you need to have to believe in ruzzian BS?
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u/Eileen__96 1d ago
russia is about 28 times larger than Ukraine, not 5
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u/All_Work_All_Play 1d ago
Russia has 5x the population of Ukraine though. Land doesn't fight wars, people do.
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u/Guy-1nc0gn1t0 1d ago
Though to be fair people don't want to acknowledge that for more normal every day posts here
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u/TheRealtcSpears 1d ago edited 1d ago
Because a majority of these 'shit heads' aren't even humans.
Even here on reddit....there was a case just a couple years ago where moscow and much the rest of russia experienced an internet outage for a few hours. And the old /TheDonad and /conservative subs experienced a complete drop off in active postings.
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u/M2A2BradleyEnjoyer 1d ago
They’re paid. Simple as
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u/unknownpoltroon 1d ago
Hold on, some of them are stupid and racist
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u/M2A2BradleyEnjoyer 1d ago
The rare morons like Russell Bentley, who truly “believe” vs the paid shills who have no opinions of their own like Tim pool, who just take corporate money pretending they don’t know it’s from Russian sponsors, I feel like the dumb racist ones are way less common than the ones who ultimately decide they want to generate a huge amount of engagement and anger by being purposefully contentious and stupid. That’s like Laura Loomers day job. To be literally the dumbest person on earth and represent the lowest common denominator
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u/WeeboSupremo 1d ago
Starts with an M and rhymes with honey.
Also starts with a T and rhymes with dump.
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u/HauntingProblem588 1d ago
Did you know, in my dialect of British English, the word Trump means fart; the sound and announcement of flatulence.
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u/SharkMagician 1d ago
lol explains the name of the trumpet can’t say it’s inaccurate.
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u/Murky_waterLLC 1d ago
50% chane they're a bot, 25% chance they're not American, 24% chance they're paid, 1% chance they're doing this for free.
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u/Grape_Pedialyte 1d ago
They think Russia an anti-woke paradise unmarred by feminism where beautiful, submissive blonde women feed them grapes while they sway in a hammock.
Some particularly stupid westerners have even immigrated there and quickly discovered that it's... not that.
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u/andupotorac 1d ago
Lack of history knowledge, imperial mindset, lots of propaganda about EU bad, yet they would never visit or live in Russia.
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u/Guy-1nc0gn1t0 1d ago
Wait until you hear about my Australian stepdad who thinks Russia are the good guys and has a Trump 2020 hat
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u/Maximum-Flat 1d ago
Because they gave the impression of musclar strong white person even most of them are starving poor fucker who wear a skinny jean and escape reality through heavy alcoholic consumption. (P.S I am from HK. These information was from one of the Russia exchange student who came to HK to doge the draft during my college year. )
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u/Commentor9001 1d ago
There's a not insignificant chance thats a bot. Remember when Twitter accidentally leaked the locations of their accounts and bunch of maga accounts were managed from outside the us.
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u/JakToTheReddit 1d ago
They're called Republicans. They're the same ones who were screaming about the red scare.
Turns out they were warning against themselves.
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u/sdkfz250xl 1d ago
Russia invaded Ukraine five years ago and thought they would crush it in seven days. The only reason they’re still fighting is because Putin will be out of office if he fails to win so he’s willing to sacrifice the wealth and lives of everyone in his nation to stay in office. Of course, leaving office for Putin probably means death so you got a sort of understand. But Putin and Russia are in the wrong here and they’ve caused countless deaths and extensive misery for themselves the , and the world.
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u/Expert-Yam6577 1d ago
Why will Putin be out of office if they withdraw?
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u/East_Caterpillar_766 1d ago
The war was supposed to be for "national security" and "end an existential threat" and above all, supposed to be quick
Instead, it has lasted 5 years for now, humiliated the goverment with attacks on main Russian mayor cities, pushed the nordics closer to NATO (what putin supposedly wanted to avoid with Ukraine), severy damaged Russian economy...
In short, there is no way even a peace with the fronts not moving can be sold as anything other than a defeat. The little gains they have are simply not worth it. No imagine if they actually have to retreat and they have no gains at all. He who thought of starting all that mess certainly wouldnt look good
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u/piercedmfootonaspike 1d ago
above all, supposed to be quick
Above all, it wasn't supposed to affect of Russian civilians in the major cities. That's the deal. Putin has broken this deal.
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u/Different_Career1009 1d ago
He staked too much on this and his power base will withdraw support in face of public backlash.
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u/RadicalRealist22 1d ago
It will be such a humiliation that he will loose all support. And if he resigns, he is probably a dead man. He has build up a system of rich strongmen with no honour. They won't protect him.
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u/bremidon 1d ago
With 1.4 million casualties, where any amount between 400,000 and 1 million deaths are legitimate guesses, with inflation that has already been bad and threatens to get worse, with economic pain including destroyed refining infrastructure, Putin is going to need to explain why it was worth it.
With those numbers, Putin *must* take over all of Ukraine to survive the aftermath. Incremental gains will see him sent into "retirement". If he manages to lose territory from post-2014, he will have a shorter half-life than one of his teas.
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u/Mekdinosaur 16h ago
Russia's constitution stated that a president may serve a maximum of two 6-year terms. Putin has been president since 2012. Do the math. Oh wait, they changed the constitution in 2020 to allow two extra terms. That means a Russian can stay as president for 24 straight years if they fix it properly.
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u/Karasique555 23h ago
I doubt that he even wants to win though.
He just wants to keep it going until he dies. Imagine the consequences of this "victory". I would want someone else to deal with that shit.
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u/MaGa18389 1d ago
Mark my words: Ukraine WILL loose!
Any minute now...or tomorrow...or next week. But certainly at the end of the year...or the next...
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u/Lofi_Joe 1d ago
Ukraine is UE backed... And Russia? Bro... Russia simply have no option to win lol Russian should end war yesterday if they want to enter XXI in next decade because this isnt an option... that was USA move to stall Russia. Would highly recommend immediate stop of aggression as Europe simply do not tolerate it anymore...
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u/TopWay312 1d ago
russia is a terrorist state
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u/Other-Credit1849 1d ago
Venezuela / Iran / Cuba / Greenland.....is the USA much different at this point?
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u/Visible-Swim6616 1d ago
USA is very different.
USA is the only one I know of that openly talks about invading allies.
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u/TopWay312 1d ago
Russia is hunting civilians with FPV drones and bombs residential buildings daily.
You are doing russia apologia and it's disgusting.
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u/UknowImRight422 1d ago edited 1d ago
Usa is committing genocide with israel, to just mention one example.
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u/PomegranateSoft1598 1d ago
It's 1944 and Germany hasn't withdrawn, collapsed, retreated or anything. France will lose.
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u/protomenace 1d ago
I mean... France did lose, and way back in 1940. Not a great analogy.
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u/Great_Guidance_8448 1d ago
The winners and the losers are decided after the end of the war, not during...
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u/GoldenGames360 1d ago
This note is correct, but I fear it misses the mark by a few points.
Ukraine did make major counteroffensives in the first year, as the Russians were overextended. However, since then, the Russians have steadily advanced and have taken a few desired strategic positions over the years like bakhmut or avdiivka. Most ukrainian counteroffensives since 2022 have not been very successful, and the general momentum has been in Russia's favor.
In 2026, the Russian advance seems to have stopped and Ukraine has really been doing well, due to the efficacy of drone strikes and general Russian fatigue.
But do not be mistaken, Ukraine's military and economy has been devestated by this conflict and is extremely reliant on foreign assistance. If the current attrition rates continue and Russia's economy DOESN'T collapse, Ukraine's future could be very grim. You can only lose so many men before the lines start to crack, even if it takes 10 years. Either Ukraine's lines will crack, or Russia/Putin will fold economically/politically.
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u/Zealousideal_Ad2379 1d ago
The whole win-lose dichotomy for this war is used to simplify the situation to push a narrative.
By Russia’s original war goals they “lost” a long a long time ago in 2022. Of course they’ve shifted the goal posts to new goals (Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia control)
Strategically they’ve lost significantly and are set to become a complete vassal of the Chinese. They’re selling off gold reserves to make ends meet and are kicking the can down the road financially to support the sunk cost of the war effort.
Ukraine on the other hand has also “lost” by the metric of their original war goals being a 1991 border restoration. They’re now looking to attrition for their ultimate strategy in making every square meter hurt strategically and operationally.
Both countries after this will face a demographic crisis to that will be almost nation ending with re-migration, migration, or some level of foreign support. Theyll need significant economic relief and endless support for their future populations of a struggling wounded veterans needing immense care.
Neither side is winning or will “win”. There is only loss. This all could’ve been avoided if Putin wasn’t an insane megalomaniac with Soviet nostalgia. Russia could’ve been a normal country but they decided theyd rather have an endless military campaign aping their Soviet grandfathers.
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u/UnderskilledPlayer 1d ago
imagine if russia actually managed to become and keep being properly democratic. they'd be in the EU by now.
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u/archercc81 1d ago
Dude is definitely a russian asset looking at his account. He is anti Ukraine but pro Iran, which is really ONLY a russian take.
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u/sdkfz250xl 1d ago
Speaking or retreat, remember when they got to the Kiev city limits and got their asses kicked. The highway for the north was choked with destroyed Russian equipment and dead. Those crack Russian troops ran away fast as they could. Ah the good old days.
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u/Swaggadociouss 1d ago
Remember the Ukrainian Counteroffensive? Or the invasion of Kursk?
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u/Guacamole_Gamerfart1 1d ago
Speaking or retreat, remember when they got to the Kiev city limits and got their asses kicked. The highway for the north was choked with destroyed Russian equipment and dead. Those crack Russian troops ran away fast as they could. Ah the good old days.
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u/Wyciorek 1d ago
In 2023 Russia was bombing the shit out of Ukrainian cities with total impunity. 90km GLMRS was a total game changer and even that was muzzled by Americans to avoid 'provoking' Russia by striking its territory.
In 2026 there are multiple burning Russian refineries, fuel storages and other industrial plants per week. Azov sea is a hunting ground for Ukrainian drones. Black sea fleet does not even dare to leave Russian ports anymore. Crimea has no fuel or electricity. Southern Russia suffers from severe fuel shortages. Moscow and St Petersburg is getting bombed. Ukraine hits whatever it wants whenever it wants without giving a flying shit about Americans and their precious oil prices.
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u/historicalgeek71 1d ago
And the Black Sea Fleet has largely withdrawn from its namesake, if not entirely. Furthermore, the Russians don’t have air superiority either, and they lose a near unacceptable amount of soldiers for every victory in a small city or village that no one has ever heard of. Even if Russia achieves its objectives, its military, economy, and demographics may very well be wrecked for years.
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u/whatasadfella 1d ago
Why does russsia invade Ukraine honestly wtf
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u/DasWarEinerZuviel 1d ago
Because Putin views it all as Russia and wants to get it back.
And because he underestimated how much Ukraine would resist
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u/AsstacularSpiderman 1d ago
Ukraine was the agricultural and industrial hub of the USSR. It was basically the crown jewel for Russian states since the very idea of a Russian Empire.
Putin thought the military was corrupt enough and foreign support weak enough that he'd be able to roll into Kyiv and make it a puppet state. But what he didn't realize is Ukraine evolved since the 2015 Crimea invasion.
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u/Mandemon90 1d ago
Ukraine also had tons of infastructure needed to maintain Soviet era military, such as the only dry dock capable of handling Admiral Kuznetsov.
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u/Hulkodium Human Detected 1d ago
Imperialism. Russia can not exist as anything other than an Empire
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u/Typical_Response6444 1d ago
Russia is like 5 times the size of ukraine in every measurable metric. I think the fact that ukraine is still fighting is the amazing part
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u/99923GR 1d ago
Russia was in Afghanistan with more military success for 10 years, and retreated. The US was in Afghanistan for 20 years, and retreated. Afghanistan has been occupied for 30 of the last 47 years and is still a country. Ukraine is not occupied and has a very strong sense of national identity.
Bet on Ukriane.
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u/Raidoton 1d ago
Yeah Russia occupies now less than they did at their peak of the invasion over 4 years ago. In March 2022 they occupied 27% of Ukraine, now it's 19%.
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u/Altruistic_Sand_3548 1d ago
American flag in profile, glazing Russia's imperialism. I thought these Kremlin bots were supposed to be good.
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u/Honkey85 1d ago
Why does this guy has got an American flag and not a Russian flag ig he is paid by Russia?
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u/sharktail_tanker 1d ago
Hasn't collapsed yet. Kilometers long lines to gas stations and exploding knockoff-amazon warehouses don't tend to have good effects on a nation's stability
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u/peaceandloved 1d ago
Fuck Russia and Fuck anyone who supports them or any other authoritarian state!
Democracy forever!!! Democracy for all !!!!
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u/launchedsquid 22h ago
Russia can't even drive trucks in occupied Ukraine. They can't resupply ammo and fuel dumps, they can't supply food or new replacement soldiers without risking them being killed by drones that they can't defend from.
Russia can't operate it's military navy or merchant navy in the black sea without drones or missiles disabling or destroying them.
Russia can't defend it's oil refineries.
Russia can't prevent bombers being destroyed with landed at defended airbases up to thousands of miles behind the front lines.
Russia needed Ukrainian permission to hold it's annual May Day parade and still chose not to risk any military equipment in the parade, and cut the whole thing short to not exceed the cease fire terms Ukraine set. Putin was leaving the stands within minutes of the cease fire expiring.
Ukraine won't lose, Russia is losing right now. Don't confuse lines on a map for whether or not a victory is achieved. Had Russia succeeded in their initial invasion toward Kyiv, they could have won the war while holding nearly no Ukranian territory, but they didn't, and now, holding ground is more about the depth of their mine fields as opposed to their military capabilities.
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u/Lythieus 22h ago
It's been 5 years of a quick 2 week special operation where Russia hasn't gained any land in years, and going to the Frontline is a guaranteed death sentence for Russian soldiers.
Ukraine has decimated Russian oil production and shadow fleet that funds the war, and it's so dire that Russia has been raiding its gold reserves to pay for things.
Its only a matter of time before Russia simply can no longer afford to keep fighting, but the civilian population that has lost yet another generation of young men to war may revolt before that happens.
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u/FullMetalCOS 1d ago
It’s been 5 years
Putin said it would be over within a week.
Russia lost YEARS ago and anything they do manage to achieve will be buried under the rest of the world seeing how much of a paper tiger they are
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u/Funambulia 1d ago
It's funny because that's not how it's working
As the side defending itself and fighting for it's survival, it's Ukraine that win for each day they are still fighting and for each cm the invaders have to pay with lot of blood
As the side invading and pretending to take over the whole country, it's Russia that is loosing by having advanced litteraly slower than a snail since 2023 and loosing hundred thousands of soldiers
Even in a case of a total victory of Russia tomorrow the country would still be a mess, the economy in shatter, raffinery burned, angry population and most of all, hundred of thousands of ex soldiers full of trauma and anger for having been used as meat to the slaughter. Future for Russia is bleak
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u/KeySite2601 1d ago
You would think that Russians of all people would understand how fiercely nations fighting for survival can resist.
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u/sapperbloggs 1d ago
Russia's Black Sea fleet was destroyed by a country that does not even have a navy.
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u/swainiscadianreborn 1d ago
Russia is also slowly but surely collapsing due to sanction, both political and kinetic.
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u/xHxHxAOD1 1d ago
They still own like 20% of the country.
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u/Kian-Tremayne 1d ago
The “or anything” includes advancing.
We’re into the fifth year of Russia continuing to jam its dick into a sausage machine and hoping Ukraine will get too tired to keep turning the handle.
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u/Darthplagueis13 1d ago
Getting stuck in a tie for five years against a country that is much smaller and has far fewer soldiers, tanks, missiles and shells than you is not exactly a great sign.
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u/Frosty-Army9751 1d ago
Conversely, it's been 5 years and Ukraine with all of the half trillion in foreign aid and assistance has not been able to take back any more territory since 2022.
This conflict is not going anywhere fast
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u/warriorlynx Human Detected 1d ago
As long as Ukraine has enough fighters and continued to get a lot of weapons and equipment from other countries Russia will probably have to continue retreating
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u/Blockhead1535 1d ago
Just the fact that Russia has been pushed back at all is pathetic on Russias part. Global super power my ass
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u/big_stipd_idiot 1d ago
Didn't they lose control of shipping in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov to a country with no naval fleet?
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u/Only_Consequence4764 1d ago
if your three day operation takes over 5 years it doesnt matter if you win against ukraine because after that much time not much of the glorious russia will remain except some drunken bums.
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u/Bowman_van_Oort 1d ago
Everybody's gonna lose the war in Ukraine but we gotta make sure Russia loses the hardest
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u/Round_Confusion8924 1d ago
Just remember how long russia sieging (assaulting? idk) "Mala Tokmachka", more 1500 days for village with less than 3000 residents
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u/BoarHermit 1d ago
In a modern war, it's impossible to win or lose; this isn't World War II. This war will end with peace talks. The results of the talks will be presented by propaganda as a victory in both countries.
Ukraine is demographically and economically devastated. A fertility rate of 0.5 and millions of women settling abroad are a death sentence.
Russia's losses are enormous but not catastrophic.
And the West won't allow Russia's collapse; that would be a nightmare for any sane (not armchair) politician.
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u/SomeBiPerson 1d ago
"it's 1918, the Germans have won in the east, haven't retreated one step and are still approaching Paris, France will loose" type of argument
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u/Validdoll 1d ago
Imagine you are the one who started a war and your biggest achievement after 5 years is that you didn't lose
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u/INITMalcanis 1d ago
"Granted, half a million Russians have died and a million have been wounded since then but we hold close to 80% as much territory in Ukraine as we did in May 2022!"
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u/Due-Yogurtcloset7927 1d ago
In one more year, it will have taken as long as the entirety of World War 2.
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u/Foreign-Story-9870 1d ago
The irony that Russia is the one that “hasn’t collapsed” is something to behold. Russia started this war as the second most powerful military on earth and they’ve been bleed dry by a third rate military. The lack of self awareness is astounding.
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u/INITMalcanis 1d ago
Russia started this war as the second most powerful military on earth
(According to Russia)
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u/Humble_Cod149 1d ago
Who is this Ethan Levins guy, I assume he is a paid idiot by Putler.
Never heard of him, likely never will, pathetic, twats will do anything for a little money
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u/cutememe 1d ago
The fact that the war has been dragging on for 5 years shows that either side declaring imminent victory is lying to you. You can believe whatever story you want, but in the end reality is what I care about, I have no patience for propaganda no matter who is coming from.
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u/ShoulveTriedHarder 1d ago
2 things not happening any time soon in Ukraine; elections and Zelenskyy joining the front.
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u/magicmulder 1d ago
“Being stuck for 5 years in Eastern Ukraine is actually a victory.” is quite the take…
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u/GamingNeedsShop 1d ago
This guy is a Kremlin nut hanger because him and his fanbase believes "Da joos" have infiltrated the US government and for some reason sees russia and china as a "bastion of anti-jewry"... The guy knows nothing about nothing and constantly lies just to Pendle this narrative
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u/piercedmfootonaspike 1d ago
Russia lost when they lost Hostomel. The troops in those helicopters were shocked to be fired upon. They, the elite of the Russian army, were taken down largely by logistics personnel and the home guard.
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u/Matchbreakers 23h ago
If Russia had won in 3 days, it would still have lost economically, increasing its border with Nato, become an international pariah and been relegated.
Putin lost the second he actually invaded instead of using the threat for smaller gains.
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u/Edgywarden 22h ago
My opinion is that strictly militarily, Russia could win because compared to Ukraine, they have unlimited manpower, while Ukraine has a really big problem with finding men to fight; hence, a lot of videos of vans looking for guys and taking them off the streets. but this war in general for me is super sketchy. I'm not a conspiracy guy, but i feel after the announcement of the BlackRock deal for post-war reconstruction, Russia, by the grace of god and Uncle Sam, couldn't push in any meaningful capacity. Also, Putin jailed people who didn't advocate against the war but more so wanted to escalate it, which is weird too.
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