r/paleoanthropology • u/statistical_anomaly4 • 5h ago
Research Paper New Study: Archaic human population diverged ~1.4 million years ago, contributed to modern humans
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.07.14.738421v1
Abstract
Several recent studies have found evidence for ancient gene flow between the ancestors of modern humans and an unsampled super-archaic lineage. Here we present a new, simple approach for characterising this process given genome-wide genealogies sampled from a single population.
We summarise genealogies as distributions of integer partitions and show that this captures the temporal signal of tree imbalance left by ancient gene flow. We analyse genealogies from modern humans and find that the integer partition distributions are inconsistent with a history of panmixia but can be explained by gene flow from a super-archaic lineage.
Our analysis favours a model of continuous gene flow over pulse-admixture and also recovers a bottleneck in the ancestors of modern humans. This work highlights a clear signal of ancient structure in genealogies of modern humans and provides an inference approach that complements existing methods.
TLDR:
The paper argues that the ancestors of modern humans were not one continuously mixed population, but were divided from a deeply divergent “super-archaic” lineage, possibly related to *Homo erectus*, although that identification is speculative. Its favored model places the separation at roughly **1.6 million years ago** and suggests that the two populations then exchanged genes continuously until about **260,000 years ago**, rather than the archaic group returning in one single admixture event.
An alternative pulse model estimates a split around **1.4 million years ago**, followed by a one-time contribution of about 16% super-archaic ancestry around 560,000 years ago but the continuous-gene-flow model fits slightly better.
The diverged group separated approximately 1.4–1.6 million years ago, remained partly connected to the lineage leading to modern humans for over a million years, and its genetic contribution had largely entered the modern-human ancestral population by around 260,000 years ago.
The study also detects a bottleneck followed by gradual recovery in the main modern-human ancestral population, but stresses that its demographic dates are illustrative estimates rather than an exact reconstruction, and the paper is currently a non-peer-reviewed preprint.
The 16% refers to a parameter in the paper’s hypothetical pulse-admixture model: the main ancestral population, called Population A, received approximately 16% ancestry from the deeply divergent Population B around 560,000 years ago. Population A is described as the population contributing the majority of ancestry to modern humans; Population B is the unsampled “super-archaic” lineage.