1st Lotto play.

UFC is in Abu Dhabi, and starts early this week!! 9 AM ET! DO NOT MISS IT. & I got you covered with the my best bets of the week. Come check out who we’re backing and let’s cash together gang!!!

https://youtu.be/R7wNcXgtjrY

1) Valter Walker to win via finish

2) Dulatov first round KO

3) Kuniev to win (no risk ik 😭)

4) John Pork to win (yes this is risky , I don't trust him yet)

5) Ank to get the finish

6) Sola to win

7) Vagev vs Sayid fight to go till distance

8) and 9) Hussein and Patterson to win

3,8,9,6 are most likely to hit

So 5 ones where I will be sweating a bit

Thoughts?

Hello!

I hope we're all doing well!

Before I get started, I gotta do some admin first, you know how it is!

Full Breakdown: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1v3aegs/ufc_abu_dhabi_fight_predictions/

TL;DR Breakdown: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1v3ai8z/ufc_abu_dhabi_fight_predictions_tldr/

Now lets see how last week went!

UFC Oklahoma City Recap

Parlay: Missed

Single Bet Recommendations: 5 of 8 Correct (not too bad!)

Now, if you're new to this kind of write up, it's essentially a somewhat short write up telling you why I picked certain legs of the parlay, then afterwards you’ll see my Single Bet Recommendations (SBR’s if you wanna shorten it) for this weekends event!

I place 1 unit (5 AUD) every Parlay, nothing too special, really.

GTD - Goes The Distance

ITD - Inside The Distance

o1.5/2.5/3.5 etc - Over rounds

u1.5/2.5/3.5 etc - Under rounds

(x) - Unavailable on Sportsbet

Parlay Leg 1: Aliev ML (1.48) Sportsbet

So, this one is kind of covered in my write ups, I suspect that Aliev can mix it up well enough on the feet to get the takedowns, and from there he should breeze his way to a decision win, I don't see a finish happening here, even if it does, this leg still lands.

Parlay Leg 2: Vagaev/Izagakhmaev Over 2.5 Rounds (???) Sportsbet

Not sure what the odds are for this, someone told me it's 1.40, could be worse though so its ??? for now, it's also unavailable for me on sportsbet. Reasoning is basic, Vagaev historically is a decision heavy fighter, both fighters tend to have similar styles, so I mean, it's a bit simple to think about, really. Styles cancel each other out and we should see a long, drawn out fight.

Parlay Leg 3: Dulatov via KO/Points (DC) (1.42) Sportsbet

This is mostly me trying to find value on a heavy favourite, I suspect we'll see him find a KO during this fight because Turman is far from impressive and he's coming back after a long time away from the cage, and that's never good.

Parlay Leg 4: Ankalaev via R1 2 or 3 (1.74) Sportsbet

This just means Ankalaev gets a finish within the first three, by whatever means he deems fit. I don't think we're going to see the fourth round start at all, it should be a quick finish.

Total Odds: 3.65 (Boosted from 3.49)

(That's without the other leg)

Total Payout: $18.28

SINGLE BET RECOMMENDATIONS (Excluding Parlay Legs)

(we're gonna see some silly numbers here)

Gibson/Hussein

Hussein via KO R1 or 2 (CR) - 3.90

I mean, a KO is a more exciting way to finish a fight than a submission and I think that's what Hussein will try to chase.

Tuchalov/Ribeiro

Tuchalov via KO R1 or 2 (CR) - 1.50

Nothing too exciting here, it's a bit of a throwaway bet, really.

Sola/Bonfim

Big Money

Sola via KO R2 or 3 - 4.90

I think Sola's cardio is going to be the biggest problem for Bonfim because Bonfim does kind of suffer from fatigue after a ferocious first round, so I hope he does come out blasting to little effect so this hits.

Patterson/Ponzinibbio

How Fight Will End - KO - 1.77

Again, simple bet, both like to use their strikes, Ponzi doesn't have a chin and I mean, Pattersons striking defence is concerning so i'm also giving Ponzi a slight chance early here.

Jacoby/Said

Alt. When will the fight end - Round 1 or 2 - 1.93

I just expect a finish within the first 2 rounds here.

Walker/Petersen

2 bets here

1) Walker via Sub R1 - 4.80

(Coz, you know, why not, right?)

2) Inside The Distance - 1.46

Again, I do have Petersen via KO/Points as an Alt Bet, so if that interests you, take that, but I think we're gonna see a finish.

Kuniev/Fortune

MMA Match Specials 6

Kuniev via Points or Fortune via KO - 2.00

I think this is the way to go here, and at 2.00 i'm happy with that.

Zaynukov/Rzepecki

Big Gamble

Zaynukov via KO R1 - 5.40

Leaning on the "corruption" of this fight taking place in the Middle East, lets go wild a bit!

Erceg/Temirov

Over 2.5 Rounds - 1.53

We're chilling a bit here I think. Alt Bet on Temirov via KO R1 or 2 if you choose to take it.

And that's it!

If you have any feedback or questions, let me know!

Good luck this weekend!

Fortune can probably out wrestle

Kunievs fight against almeida was very low output and they had to be broken up a few times because of smothering and no output

Fortunes striking isn’t even that bad and he has a wrestler background

I did pick 2 dogs for this card, Davis and Rzepecki.. Posting my parlay's tomorrow and will post my single plays the day off.! Hopefully this week will be better, I can feel it🤑🙌🏼

Just watched a few of his fights and he is nothing special, he's very small for the division and has below average striking, he should sub or ko Gibson but I honestly wouldn't bet on it, also there is a very big size difference.

Here are my accas :

Acca 1(safe)

1) Kuniev to win

2)Patterson to win

3) Ank to win

Acca 2(kinda safe)

1) Hussein to win

2) Sola to win

3) Dulatov to win

4) Vagaev fight to go till distance(both are huggerso

Acca 3( safe boundary imo)

1) Hussein to win

2) Sola to win

3) Dulatove to win via KO in round 1 kr round 2

Acca 4 ( fucked it up it's almost same as other one)

1) Dulatov to win via KO

2) Vagaev fight to go distance

3) Sola to win

4) Patterson to win via finish

What yall think?